‘The Friend of Contingency’ | Robyn Ferrell on John Keane

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The discharge of John Keane’s transient historical past occurred between the Australian federal election, the conflict in Ukraine, and China’s ‘safety’ settlement with the Solomon Islands. So, inside just a few weeks of its publication, The Shortest Historical past of Democracy achieved dramatic salience. Not fairly ready for this new chapter, its tone addressed an earlier Zeitgeist, through which many had been disengaged from democracy by Trumpian politics and EU in-fighting.

One among a collection of ‘Shortest Histories’ from Black Inc, it follows the format of an amiably-written generalist’s guide from a scholarly writer – John Keane is professor of politics at Sydney College. At instances it’s admirably succinct. ‘Democracy heightens consciousness of what’s arguably the paramount political drawback: how one can stop rule by the few, who act as if they’re mighty immortals born to rule?’, he writes.

What Keane calls the issue of titanism – ‘rule by pretended giants’– threatens democracy even in peacetime. It’s laborious to observe the populace within the Philippines vote within the son of a tyrant; or, within the Solomons, the four-times Prime Minister take his nation near tyranny to shore up his personal maintain on energy.

Democracy has all the time had rival strategies of distributing energy. From monarchy and empire to tyranny and despotism, historical past in Keane’s account is a litany of successive political preparations. None besides democracy retain at coronary heart a precept of egalitarian rule. He writes that ‘democracy is phenomenal in requiring folks to see that every little thing is constructed on the shifting sands of time and place, and so, so as to not give themselves over to monarchs, emperors and despots, they should stay overtly and flexibly.’


Democracy, Keane tells us, is the buddy of contingency. He offers in 240 pages an instructive taxonomy – from ‘meeting’ to ‘electoral’ and ‘monitory’ democracy, every association a response to totally different contingency.

Keane writes eloquently of democracy’s beginnings. Early types of meeting democracy, with public gatherings of residents debating and deciding issues for themselves, seem first in Syria-Mesopotamia and transfer east to the Indian subcontinent and west to Phoenician cities. Democracy settles famously in Athens. There, meeting democracy allowed for a direct type of self-government, and residents made an artform of talking to the meeting, striving for a political consensus. However Athens, notably, didn’t enfranchise everybody. Girls and slaves underpinned the liberty of Athenian residents with out sharing in it. And maybe this foundational injustice led to the anti-democratic impulse that was Athens’ eventual undoing, in line with Keane – the constructing of Empire. When the Macedonians lastly defeated Athens in 260 BCE, they dismantled its democratic beliefs and establishments, which had develop into fatally tainted by the lure of imperial wealth and its attendant militarisation of political life.

Democracy caught on within the Atlantic areas from the twelfth century, as a extra ‘electoral’ type of democracy emerged. Church governance and early types of parliament had been seen from Spain to Iceland, instituting the selection of delegates from a constituency who had been empowered to make selections on its behalf. In every case, an answer wanting violence was discovered for sorting totally different pursuits and for moderating energy.

The electoral technique of democracy differed from the meeting technique by permitting for the adjustment of variations relatively than the willpower of consensus. On this lay an amazing advantage of democracy: the peaceable decision of battle whereas sustaining pluralism. For all of the discuss of ‘the Individuals’, no such unified will existed in observe. Keane reveals that, regardless of the rhetoric of the Individuals’s sovereignty, the brand new energy of electoral democracy was in its capability for locating vectors out of division by power-sharing.

It took till the 20th century for the speculation and observe of electoral democracy to mature and flourish, however after the Second World Conflict it reached a excessive watermark within the governance of countries, as Keane outlines. There was an express perception within the risk that the democratic type of authorities, taken as a worldwide principle, may defend the world from the disaster of conflict in an age of weapons of mass destruction.


Ukraine, a contemporary European democracy, was invaded by its imperialist autocratic neighbour in February this yr. It got here as a dramatic existential shock to the globalised West, whilst Putin had massed troops on the border for months, and even within the wake of earlier aggression just like the annexing of Crimea and the preventing in Donbas.

In Europe, the horrible face of conflict had been shrouded for eighty years. Regardless of hiding in plain sight, proven nightly on tv ­– ‘and a warning this footage incorporates pictures of conflict’; in no specific order, Chechnya, Iraq, Afghanistan, Yemen, Georgia, Syria – it took the battle in Ukraine for Europe to look its ravaged visage within the eye. Individuals at some point sitting in cafes ingesting espresso, their youngsters enjoying on swings in playgrounds, their ageing mother and father sitting in residence lounge rooms with the TV on. The following, large holes blown in these residences, tearing the home windows out, exposing the décor like so many dolls’ homes. Playgrounds dismembered by exploded shells now mendacity on the bottom beside the play gear.

Individuals proven carrying acquainted model names on their sweatshirts or on their backpacks, in puffer jackets, scrambling onto trains and buses, clasping procuring luggage and wheelie suitcases of what possessions they may seize as they run from their properties. Operating for his or her lives. Or worse, unable to depart, stranded in basement bomb shelters and underground railway stations with out meals and water and energy, not to mention clear garments, scorching showers, contemporary air and creature comforts.

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine was a forcible reminder that the lengthy years of peace following the world wars weren’t a worldwide default place. There isn’t any ‘finish of historical past’, regardless of Francis Fukuyama and different political theorists who trumpeted a story of ‘how the West gained’ within the wake of the Chilly Conflict.


Keane argues that at this time greater than ever democracy represents the fairest but in addition most contingent technique for governance of energy in an unsure world. Democracy ‘asks folks to see by discuss of gods, divine rulers and even human nature, to desert all claims to an innate privilege based mostly on the “pure” superiority of brains or blood, pores and skin color, caste, class, spiritual religion, age or sexual desire.’ This, writes Keane, is its main high quality: ‘Democracy denatures energy.’ However does this dodge the complexity of energy? As was seen in Athens, however arguably extra acutely in our personal time, the financial may be an inside strain disrupting and even corrupting democratic political means. Capitalism, whereas coinciding with a lot of the trendy period of democracy, hasn’t reliably shared its egalitarian spirit.

The most recent iteration of democracy, on Keane’s evaluation, arises from globalism. Attuned to the trans-national scale of energy and wealth, and linked by the digital spheres of communication, surveillance and social media, ‘monitory’ democracy has developed to reinforce consultant elected governments by entities reporting on every little thing from local weather change to human rights. These monitoring efforts may be as casual as citizen journalism and as structured because the our bodies of the United Nations. The oversight of rapporteurs and a framework of worldwide legal guidelines modify the sovereignty of the nation-state, tying its democratic processes to supranational commitments.

Then there are the particular curiosity teams and lobbyists of social media that amplify or impede the messaging of conventional political illustration. Monitory democracy brings a layer of complexity to plain beliefs of democracy cherished as ‘liberal’ or ‘social’, and might even create chaos inside them. Populism specifically can devolve electoral democracy into extra autocratic types with alarming pace underneath the strain of those non-elected, self-selected and highly effective mobilisations of political will.

If we worth democracy, argues Keane, we should work assiduously to defend it. Keane’s upbeat tone can strike the reader at instances as romantic cheerleading. A few of that is an impact of the polemical freehand model he adopts, little doubt to persuade these he believes will want convincing. Finally it does the guide a disservice, as a result of Keane’s message is considered one of better substance.

Scepticism and cynicism about democracy come up from the evil of centralised and despotic energy to the opposite excessive, the scattering of political will in exaggerated range, he argues. In defence of monitory democracy, towards the ‘morbid critics’ of democracy a minimum of the cynical promoters of ‘phantom democracy’, Keane recommends it because the type of authorities devised for the safeguarding of contingency.


The worth of democracy is stay once more. New vocabularies burst into foreign money – Morrison known as out an ‘axis of autocracy’, Biden informed the ‘Quad’ that this alliance mattered as a result of now ‘it’s democrats towards autocrats’. The partitions between peace and conflict appeared paper-thin.

Keane displays on a despondency and lack of religion in democracy, particularly by youthful folks and particularly in India and South America, as proven in a number of world research. He factors to the event of an unhealthy ‘managed democracy’ in lots of locations, the place company trade pursuits seize management of presidency with the assistance of business media and demobilise and shepherd the citizenry.

It’s apparent to Keane that democracy, no less than within the West, has been disfigured by the triumphant energy of enterprise, banking and conservative neo-liberal coverage. He writes: ‘State insurance policies of “saving capitalism“ have weakened commerce unions, promoted deregulation of public companies and unfold the tradition of consumption fuelled by personal credit score and the idea within the sanctity of the unobliged particular person.’

His critique goes additional, towards what he warns is a ‘new despotism’. Monitory democracies are going through a brand new world competitor: the regimes in Russia, Turkey, Hungary, the United Arab Emirates, Iran and China ‘with top-down political structure and the capability to win the loyalty of their topics utilizing strategies in contrast to something recognized to the sooner fashionable world.’

In purple prose, he writes of ‘vultures choosing at rotting flesh, the critics of monitory democracy … having fun with a once-in-a-lifetime feast of cynicism and rejection of power-sharing democracy.’ Sturdy stuff – and never but clear whether or not that is eclipsed in Russia’s blunt reversion to conflict. In opposition to the ambivalence that seeks to have interaction democracy in ways in which weaken it (together with by inference the critique of it as a colonial artefact), Keane directs us to a lateral superb, someplace between philosophy and historical past, of ‘re-imagining democracy because the guardian of plurality’.

Jurgen Habermas argued when it was retro – that’s, again earlier than February – that the European Union ought to be understood ‘as an essential step on the trail in direction of a politically-constituted world society.’ Whereas many had been questioning why the political mission of the European Union ought to proceed, now that (sic) ‘the unique motive of constructing wars in Europe unimaginable is exhausted’, Habermas’ reply squared as much as the problem of an financial union that’s in peril of eclipsing the political.

Governments ‘lack braveness and are thrashing round helplessly within the dilemma between the imperatives of the most important banks and the score businesses, on the one aspect, and their concern of dropping legitimacy amongst their very own pissed off populations, on the opposite’, he wrote. However three parts of a democratic polity – ‘the affiliation of free and equal authorized individuals, a bureaucratic group for collective motion, and civic solidarity as a medium of political integration’ – taken collectively, Habermas argues, present a warrant for a renewed enfranchising of democracy, one that might survive past the nation state or ethnic territory.

Keane proposes that the issue of the abuse of energy is the issue for which democracy is the indispensable answer. That is democracy ‘understood as an endless means of humbling unconstrained energy.’ It brings Keane to the phrases of French thinker, Jean-Luc Nancy: ‘democracy just isn’t figurable’; it has no mounted type or previous justification; it’s ‘anarchic, completely unhappy with the best way issues are’; it’s even a ‘form shifter’.

Nancy outlines two contradictory moments for democracy that ‘blur’ the idea. The primary is an originating second, earlier than regulation takes impact to professional sovereign acts – the purpose of revolution, when an rebellion of fashionable will asserts itself towards an oppressive energy. The second is the regulatory second, when regulation and sovereignty already apply – the rebellious act just isn’t recognised as democratic, however as a transfer towards democracy, as treacherous or felony.

Between these two meanings of democracy, he factors out, the perfect oscillates and factors to the fault line underscoring the insecurity of any democratic second. It is just a step away from a profitable coup d’état (suppose the January 6 invasion of the US Capitol).


The pictures of Ukraine’s conflict had been pushed apart by the pantomime of a federal election marketing campaign. As I waited for the tedium to finish, I used to be filled with petulant grievance. Why are politicians so extraordinary while you would suppose we’d have the brightest and greatest stepping as much as the plate? Why does the protection all the time should be on gotchas – like Albanese being unable to provide you with the unemployment figures, or stunts – like Morrison felling an under-9 soccer participant after he’s admitted to being a bulldozer?

For all of the hours of protection, democracy itself was hardly mentioned, even when its excesses and distortions had been on show like by no means earlier than. Why was Clive Palmer (or Simon Holmes à Court docket, for that matter) given the possibility to fund the election? Why does the destiny of excellent authorities dangle on a handful of disengaged voters in a handful of outlier seats?

Even in a contemporary democracy, defending democratic values is a full-time job. What a couple of federal ICAC? What about equal funding for faculties? What about Closing the Hole? What about equal wages for equal work? All stopping rule of the bulk changing into rule of the mob.

And there appeared an air of exhaustion across the main events. Was this a time of danger for Australian democracy, or only a change of substances as voters moved away from a inflexible two-party mannequin? Europe has had minority governments and outlandish coalitions for years, pundits identified.

The capricious energy of social media underlined how issues have modified within the period of monitory democracy. Had Labor misjudged the second by staying with the standard ‘legacy’ chief? In the meantime, Morrison could be a ‘buffoon’, and bread and circuses work for some time, however even entrepreneurs can’t keep in authorities endlessly, certainly?

After which I used to be reminded – watching farmers’ cottages in Ukrainian villages bombed to rubble, and fashionable politicians imprisoned in Myanmar for all times – that Churchill had one factor proper; democracy is the ‘least worst’ system. The choice actually is worse. The issue for democracy is everybody else. Contained in the charmed circle, all is banality. However outdoors is horrifying violence – a line of ragged wounded troops crawled out from the Asvol steelworks after weeks of fight having failed to carry a ruined metropolis.

Lastly, one Saturday, somebody flicked a swap. After ten years of ‘local weather wars’, an citizens was persuaded of the necessity to transfer ahead to scrub vitality. The Voice to Parliament would go ahead, childcare can be cheaper, aged care staff correctly paid, there can be an finish to wage suppression.

And ladies profitable in all places, in blue seats turned teal and inexperienced. Girls, pollsters stated, had ‘had sufficient’, had obtained fed up with the mates’ charges and the morale-sapping sexist misogyny that handed for public life. There may be justice of a form when a authorities can change with out bloodshed, apart from a metaphorical ‘greenbath’.

That’s the proof of democracy – in a single day contemporary approaches, new vitality and willpower to carry an finish to abuses of energy, simply by standing according to a sausage in bread.



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